Will Lagos be the first city to 100 million?
video description
after almost leveling out, most likely within a couple of decades, the population will most likely reach double or triple the current numbers, before starting to fall as urbanization, industrialization & women's rights will cause a more European like small family to gain popularity and there will be fewer mothers with tens of kids (some will still choose that life, but they are always a minority of the population, and, many others will choose careers that leave less time for comfortable child-rearing.
also, even in Japan, the 23 cities and suburbs that make up Tokyo are the most famous but not the biggest city, that title would go to the Metropolitan area formed around Osaka (Kansai) getting closer to 70 million people. though the growth rate of Osaka is halving every few years, it will probably reach the 75million mark before it starts falling in population due to Japans reducing demographic.
Date: 2023-11-10
Related videos
Comments and reviews: 12
Kenz300
Population needs to be in balance with jobs, resources, nature and the environment. Having a bigger population in any country than the country can support makes no sense. Access to food, water, shelter, energy and jobs should guide population levels. The worlds population is still expected to add another billion people to feed, clothe and produce pollution. Humans are crowding out all other species of plants and animals. Education and birth control are key to reducing poverty and hunger. Having a child that you can not provide for yourself is cruel and irresponsible. We need solutions not just sympathy. Endless population growth is not sustainable on a finite planet. Every country needs to TRY to be more self sufficient. When there are not enough resources to sustain a population something has to give. Countries need to focus on quality of life for their citizens and not just quantity of life for cheap labor. Why import fossil fuels when wind and solar energy can be produced locally and solar energy can power electric vehicles. We need solutions not just sympathy.
reply
Population needs to be in balance with jobs, resources, nature and the environment. Having a bigger population in any country than the country can support makes no sense. Access to food, water, shelter, energy and jobs should guide population levels. The worlds population is still expected to add another billion people to feed, clothe and produce pollution. Humans are crowding out all other species of plants and animals. Education and birth control are key to reducing poverty and hunger. Having a child that you can not provide for yourself is cruel and irresponsible. We need solutions not just sympathy. Endless population growth is not sustainable on a finite planet. Every country needs to TRY to be more self sufficient. When there are not enough resources to sustain a population something has to give. Countries need to focus on quality of life for their citizens and not just quantity of life for cheap labor. Why import fossil fuels when wind and solar energy can be produced locally and solar energy can power electric vehicles. We need solutions not just sympathy.
reply
Andrew
It's difficult for me to believe that projections all the way into 2100 will necessary pan out. My guess is that as African states continue to stablize politically, that faster economic growth will ensue, with the correlated fall in birth rates.
This process is already occuring in places like Kenya, where birth rates (while still high globally) have fallen noticeably over the last few decades, from 6. 7 in 1989 to 3. 4 in 2022. This is not even including if in the future more African governments start rolling out successful family planning programs to lower birth rates.
Overall, I think Africa's future is optimistic. Which Lagos, for all its shortcoming, I believe embodies. They even recently opened their first metro system!
reply
It's difficult for me to believe that projections all the way into 2100 will necessary pan out. My guess is that as African states continue to stablize politically, that faster economic growth will ensue, with the correlated fall in birth rates.
This process is already occuring in places like Kenya, where birth rates (while still high globally) have fallen noticeably over the last few decades, from 6. 7 in 1989 to 3. 4 in 2022. This is not even including if in the future more African governments start rolling out successful family planning programs to lower birth rates.
Overall, I think Africa's future is optimistic. Which Lagos, for all its shortcoming, I believe embodies. They even recently opened their first metro system!
reply
Reamus
I don't know if boasting about having a potentially huge population in the future should be considered a good thing if we're here having a so called housing crisis (a very poor excuse to over look the current overpopulation issue) in the now. I mean I don't care if people move here and there for whatever reason, as long they don't get all hell bent on having more children than what the world's resources could accommodate for. Let's please take this little finite detail into full consideration.
reply
I don't know if boasting about having a potentially huge population in the future should be considered a good thing if we're here having a so called housing crisis (a very poor excuse to over look the current overpopulation issue) in the now. I mean I don't care if people move here and there for whatever reason, as long they don't get all hell bent on having more children than what the world's resources could accommodate for. Let's please take this little finite detail into full consideration.
reply
Ethan
Concerning birth rates, if city migration continues, birth rates will decline as technology increases which leads to a lower mortality rate. When there's a lower mortality rate people have less children so I think that's something to keep in mind for the growth of cities in Africa like Lagos
reply
Concerning birth rates, if city migration continues, birth rates will decline as technology increases which leads to a lower mortality rate. When there's a lower mortality rate people have less children so I think that's something to keep in mind for the growth of cities in Africa like Lagos
reply
Daniel
How many tiles do they have around them that can be used for agriculture? In my Civ save, I had 8 tiles for farming and 1 for cow, 1 for fish and 1 for pig. I wasn't able to go beyond 30 population.
I did get nuked by Montezuma and Ghandi though, so maybe that played a part.
reply
How many tiles do they have around them that can be used for agriculture? In my Civ save, I had 8 tiles for farming and 1 for cow, 1 for fish and 1 for pig. I wasn't able to go beyond 30 population.
I did get nuked by Montezuma and Ghandi though, so maybe that played a part.
reply
Alex
None of this will ever happen. All the estimates are wrong because everyone is forgetting about climate change. Off course there wont be 100 million people living in Lagos in 2100 when we have passed 2. 8 degress of warming. This whole video is useless from start to end.
reply
None of this will ever happen. All the estimates are wrong because everyone is forgetting about climate change. Off course there wont be 100 million people living in Lagos in 2100 when we have passed 2. 8 degress of warming. This whole video is useless from start to end.
reply
Barry
Africa has so much potential. My hope is that it can avoid developmental problems created in other parts of the world and that they have robust internally developed institutions and governments that the population deserves.
reply
Africa has so much potential. My hope is that it can avoid developmental problems created in other parts of the world and that they have robust internally developed institutions and governments that the population deserves.
reply
noah
not sure why cities like Shenzhen and Dongguan are left out at 0: 56 when they're definitely part of the pearl river delta region. the entire built up area you can see in the satellite photo is part of the region actually
reply
not sure why cities like Shenzhen and Dongguan are left out at 0: 56 when they're definitely part of the pearl river delta region. the entire built up area you can see in the satellite photo is part of the region actually
reply
kiki
The most populated cities in 2100 will be far inland and on Asia or Africa. The coasts and their older infrastructure just won't be able to keep up once the seas start coming up.
reply
The most populated cities in 2100 will be far inland and on Asia or Africa. The coasts and their older infrastructure just won't be able to keep up once the seas start coming up.
reply
Kenz300
Education and birth control are key to reducing poverty and hunger.
Having a child that you can not provide for yourself is cruel and irresponsible.
reply
Education and birth control are key to reducing poverty and hunger.
Having a child that you can not provide for yourself is cruel and irresponsible.
reply
Ian
I would love a video on slum upgrading. Also, inculde US slums of the 1900-1950s and where Italians and Irish moved when the slums were cleared.
reply
I would love a video on slum upgrading. Also, inculde US slums of the 1900-1950s and where Italians and Irish moved when the slums were cleared.
reply
Felix
There are only 5 million people in my entire country. We re already dwarfed by a city like London. These numbers are almost meaningless to me
reply
There are only 5 million people in my entire country. We re already dwarfed by a city like London. These numbers are almost meaningless to me
reply
Add a review, comment
Other channel videos
