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zakruti.com » Knowledge, science, education » Crash Course
You Know I-m All About that Bayes: Crash Course Statistics #24

You Know I-m All About that Bayes: Crash Course Statistics #24

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Rating: 4.0; Vote: 1
Today we-re going to talk about Bayes Theorem and Bayesian hypothesis testing. Bayesian methods like these are different from how we've been approaching statistics so far, because they allow us to update our beliefs as we gather new information - which is how we tend to think naturally about the world. And this can be a really powerful tool, since it allows us to incorporate both scientifically rigorous data AND our previous biases into our evolving opinions. CORRECTION: At 2: 09 the righthand side of the equation should not have P)'s, it should just be the raw numbers
Date: 2022-04-04

Comments and reviews: 10


I-m sure the host is a very skilled statistician, but it would have been nice to have more help on the script writing from a Bayesian. I don-t feel like this was a fair representation of bayesian statistics, and might even turn people off who might otherwise find it more convincing.
The video wasn-t wrong, it just focuses on the wrong things and in so doing misses out on some important points. Especially uncertainty, but also quite a few other things.
But as injustices in the world go, this is a pretty minor gripe.

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It seems like the way to objectively analyse a thing would be to multiply the likelihood-ratios of all credible studies together. This would be the same as iteratively doing Bayes analysis on each study, constantly updating your prior, starting with the assumption that the thing is as likely as not to be true. I would argue that while not always useful (bias is sometimes the result of a lifetime of non-scientific experimentation and is not always worthless) this is the strictest definition of not having a bias.
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It does not need to have subjective figure#. Ie when used as part of a diagnostic decision tree the prior probability can take the form of prevalence within a given populations or sample as determined by a gold standard test group which is then updated by the predictive power of a given test, the likelihood of that test being positive and being correct over a positive being incorrect compare with the same for true and false negative
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I am not a fan of subjectivity in mathematics. Especially statistical data, as it negates the flawless nature of pure numbers that give statistics their inherently irrefutable significance. I was actually going to take Bayesian Inference next semester but may choose not to now. One might say I have updated my prior belie. Cheese and crackers! You've won this round Mister Doctor Bayes.
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Hi, thanks for the video. What I wonder is, what are - default priors- when it comes to bayesian inference? As I understand, the priors are specific to each hypothesis or data, so how come some packages include these defaults? What do these priors entail?
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After watching more then 20 videos and reading many articles related to -Bayesian Statistics-
This video cleared my concept in a very easy way
Thank you so much for sharing great video
Now my prior belief about BAYESIAN has been updated

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-2: 23 everything in this formula is incorrect. You don-t write p(0. 001) or p(0. 5, all these numbers must be by themselves. And result is 0. 0079, meaning less than 1% chance that it is a male, not 79% as you wrote.
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This video, including the animations and graphics, nicely breaks a lot of stereotypes, apart from the stereotype of scientists necessarily like Starwars (or even know anything/care about it!
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Legend has it Maria is still on that cafe. She didn't say a word to her date because he was stuck on her head doing math. She hasn't spoken nor moved ever since
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You forgot the most important pitfall: fanatics with 0% or 100% prior beliefs can never escape them, no matter how convincing the evidence you present.
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