What You Haven’t Been Told About Iran’s Nuclear Weapons
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Date: 2025-07-20
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Comments and reviews: 20
edmarciniak7612
As someone with a deep understanding of nuclear technology and having actually tracked down and read the JCPOA text (available as pdf, I’ll say the deal was so very deeply flawed it never should’ve been agreed to to begin with. It was in essence walking into a trap to agree to sanctions relief without accomplishing the stated goals.
Recognition of the shortcomings makes it easy to understand unilateral withdrawal. Understanding the underlying technology, I’d say a new deal is possible that motivates all parties to stick with it after ratification.
The problem is, so long as Iran’s intentions are to have nuclear weapons, they’ll never agree to terms that make sense from a nuclear engineering perspective.
Because of the way enrichment works amassing a larger quantity of low enrichment uranium before going to higher enrichment increases the inventory of u-235 and therefore the number of weapons that could be produced. Additionally, it allows the possibility of starting up breeder reactors to make plutonium without forgoing the option of uranium based weapons.
Because of the smaller critical mass, the uranium sufficient to make 6-10 nuclear weapons, given time to convert to plutonium could make 35-60 plutonium weapons the current situation is a real problem.
While there are examples of countries that were invaded after giving up nuclear programs or weapons, there are even more examples of countries not invaded that never tried to start nuclear programs.
It would be better to judge whether a country might later be invaded on the basis of their natural enemies or neighbors they have a problem with.
Iran has played their hand exactly the way they should going down the path to nuclear weapons.
In not here to judge whether a country inherently has a sovereign right to to make nuclear weapons if they wish. I will say historically, it seems to be tolerated by countries with enough political stability and the resources to safeguard stockpiles with permissive action links or that make a speed run and develop weapons before anyone is willing to stop them.
Prior to the fall of the shah, Iran had participated in a joint venture for enrichment outside of the country. They never received any fuel from that, so their desire for domestic enrichment is understandable. There are technical solutions to that problem if the honest and true goal is to use nuclear power or make medical isotopes.
It would be fair to say that the changes in Iranian government from late 1970s onward got us where we are today, and aligns well with what o said about tolerating development by nations that are politically stable.
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As someone with a deep understanding of nuclear technology and having actually tracked down and read the JCPOA text (available as pdf, I’ll say the deal was so very deeply flawed it never should’ve been agreed to to begin with. It was in essence walking into a trap to agree to sanctions relief without accomplishing the stated goals.
Recognition of the shortcomings makes it easy to understand unilateral withdrawal. Understanding the underlying technology, I’d say a new deal is possible that motivates all parties to stick with it after ratification.
The problem is, so long as Iran’s intentions are to have nuclear weapons, they’ll never agree to terms that make sense from a nuclear engineering perspective.
Because of the way enrichment works amassing a larger quantity of low enrichment uranium before going to higher enrichment increases the inventory of u-235 and therefore the number of weapons that could be produced. Additionally, it allows the possibility of starting up breeder reactors to make plutonium without forgoing the option of uranium based weapons.
Because of the smaller critical mass, the uranium sufficient to make 6-10 nuclear weapons, given time to convert to plutonium could make 35-60 plutonium weapons the current situation is a real problem.
While there are examples of countries that were invaded after giving up nuclear programs or weapons, there are even more examples of countries not invaded that never tried to start nuclear programs.
It would be better to judge whether a country might later be invaded on the basis of their natural enemies or neighbors they have a problem with.
Iran has played their hand exactly the way they should going down the path to nuclear weapons.
In not here to judge whether a country inherently has a sovereign right to to make nuclear weapons if they wish. I will say historically, it seems to be tolerated by countries with enough political stability and the resources to safeguard stockpiles with permissive action links or that make a speed run and develop weapons before anyone is willing to stop them.
Prior to the fall of the shah, Iran had participated in a joint venture for enrichment outside of the country. They never received any fuel from that, so their desire for domestic enrichment is understandable. There are technical solutions to that problem if the honest and true goal is to use nuclear power or make medical isotopes.
It would be fair to say that the changes in Iranian government from late 1970s onward got us where we are today, and aligns well with what o said about tolerating development by nations that are politically stable.
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scorpioneldar
Given that Iran never was in compliance with the JCPOA and never allowed any inspection of several of their nuclear sites despite agreeing to them. yes. this Situation IS better than the JCPOA. on that one we only had the word of people who broke the deal day one and never once complied. it. now we know for a FACT that they do not have the bomb and that it is harder to make it than it was before. Iran was NEVER in compliance. indeed even HAVING a nuclear program is a valid reason for an invasion if your not one of the 7 approved countries according to the UN they are negotiating with a tool that the very effort to create justifies the obliteration of their state.
thats different from advocating for the obliteration of that state. mind you. but that context is impotant.
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Given that Iran never was in compliance with the JCPOA and never allowed any inspection of several of their nuclear sites despite agreeing to them. yes. this Situation IS better than the JCPOA. on that one we only had the word of people who broke the deal day one and never once complied. it. now we know for a FACT that they do not have the bomb and that it is harder to make it than it was before. Iran was NEVER in compliance. indeed even HAVING a nuclear program is a valid reason for an invasion if your not one of the 7 approved countries according to the UN they are negotiating with a tool that the very effort to create justifies the obliteration of their state.
thats different from advocating for the obliteration of that state. mind you. but that context is impotant.
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stancil83
20: 23. as their only guarantee of safety in this dangerous world. seriously, that's what they're going with. Hmm, then I guess I would be more safe with a nuke on me than I would without one. If that was the case, then you could argue that it would be healthier for me considering the exercise that would incur by carrying it around everywhere I went. I can see it now. The nuclear workout program; don't test me, I'm exercising. Which sounds like a billboard next to Tarrlytons cigarettes.
Something I didn't know is the model on the Tarrlytons billboard is the U. S. Surgeon General, and according to the warning, he has one lung and a voice box, but can still kick your sorry ass.
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20: 23. as their only guarantee of safety in this dangerous world. seriously, that's what they're going with. Hmm, then I guess I would be more safe with a nuke on me than I would without one. If that was the case, then you could argue that it would be healthier for me considering the exercise that would incur by carrying it around everywhere I went. I can see it now. The nuclear workout program; don't test me, I'm exercising. Which sounds like a billboard next to Tarrlytons cigarettes.
Something I didn't know is the model on the Tarrlytons billboard is the U. S. Surgeon General, and according to the warning, he has one lung and a voice box, but can still kick your sorry ass.
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pappaflammyboi5799
Most of your commentary is accurate, except for the political opinion about the genocide in the Gaza strip. If the Israelis wanted a genocide, they could have easily done it in the first few weeks of the conflict.
But no, they spend inordinate amounts of effort, money, and human lives, to give every Palestinian citizen the chance to avoid kinetic attacks.
Either you don't know the dictionary or UN definition of the word, or you're ignorantly spewing the talking points of the left who take their marching orders from Hamas' propaganda arm.
I suggest you just do historical stuff and avoid opinion pieces given you may get manipulated by your bias.
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Most of your commentary is accurate, except for the political opinion about the genocide in the Gaza strip. If the Israelis wanted a genocide, they could have easily done it in the first few weeks of the conflict.
But no, they spend inordinate amounts of effort, money, and human lives, to give every Palestinian citizen the chance to avoid kinetic attacks.
Either you don't know the dictionary or UN definition of the word, or you're ignorantly spewing the talking points of the left who take their marching orders from Hamas' propaganda arm.
I suggest you just do historical stuff and avoid opinion pieces given you may get manipulated by your bias.
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R0o0o0o0o-0
Strategic assets Iran targeted:
Al-Jalil Base; Military base in the north
Haifa Port
Haifa Power Plant
Haifa Oil Refinery
Tel Nof Airbase
Mossad HQ
Kiryah Base, Military command HQ
Kiryat Gat Industrial City Technology and chip-making hub
Israeli Ministry of Defense C&C centre
Rafael Company Supplier of defense systems
Hadar Power Plant, one of Israel’s largest power stations
Ben Gurion Airport
Weizmann Scientific Institute
Israel Nuclear Research Center in the Negev
Nevatim Airbase
Ovda Airbase
Unit 8200 Cyber Operations Intelligence HQ
3: 52 you've lost all credibility
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Strategic assets Iran targeted:
Al-Jalil Base; Military base in the north
Haifa Port
Haifa Power Plant
Haifa Oil Refinery
Tel Nof Airbase
Mossad HQ
Kiryah Base, Military command HQ
Kiryat Gat Industrial City Technology and chip-making hub
Israeli Ministry of Defense C&C centre
Rafael Company Supplier of defense systems
Hadar Power Plant, one of Israel’s largest power stations
Ben Gurion Airport
Weizmann Scientific Institute
Israel Nuclear Research Center in the Negev
Nevatim Airbase
Ovda Airbase
Unit 8200 Cyber Operations Intelligence HQ
3: 52 you've lost all credibility
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JustIssybee
Creating a video weeks later of the actual event with a lot of misinformation. More like a propaganda video. The fact that the IAEA went back on what they initially said, which was a trigger point. The The IAEA gave Israel the information on the Iranian nuclear scientists. The US used the nuclear negotiations to gather information only to assassinate key figures.
Iran did sign nuclear agreements with the US, UK, France, and the IAEA in 2015. They complied with it until 2018 when Trump ripped up the agreement.
Israel has been saying for 30 years that Iran has been three months away from making a nuclear bomb which is LIE
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Creating a video weeks later of the actual event with a lot of misinformation. More like a propaganda video. The fact that the IAEA went back on what they initially said, which was a trigger point. The The IAEA gave Israel the information on the Iranian nuclear scientists. The US used the nuclear negotiations to gather information only to assassinate key figures.
Iran did sign nuclear agreements with the US, UK, France, and the IAEA in 2015. They complied with it until 2018 when Trump ripped up the agreement.
Israel has been saying for 30 years that Iran has been three months away from making a nuclear bomb which is LIE
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yanivshemtov9430
iran didn't have nuclear weapons until now and israel didnt take advantage of that, but they say they are scared because if they give up on nuclear weapons then israel will take advantage of it add this information to political upper members saying these bombs are to attack, and not to threaten, and look at the last few months that israel attacked almost only militaity and strategic points while iran attacked hospitals, cities and research centers for a cancer cure. i dont like israel, but iran is making it really hard to not support israel right now.
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iran didn't have nuclear weapons until now and israel didnt take advantage of that, but they say they are scared because if they give up on nuclear weapons then israel will take advantage of it add this information to political upper members saying these bombs are to attack, and not to threaten, and look at the last few months that israel attacked almost only militaity and strategic points while iran attacked hospitals, cities and research centers for a cancer cure. i dont like israel, but iran is making it really hard to not support israel right now.
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Virtuous_Rogue
The Obama nuclear deal was lousy geopolitics. Trump pulling out of the deal was also lousy geopolitics.
The original deal rewarded Iran for establishing a nuclear program by making it easier for them to export weapons to their proxies. There was bipartisan skepticism when the deal was established and no significant reason to initiate it besides some Dems think maybe they'll be nice if we be nice.
Trump pulling out harmed the credibility of all US foreign agreements not backed by Congressional treaties. A theme he continues with in term 2.
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The Obama nuclear deal was lousy geopolitics. Trump pulling out of the deal was also lousy geopolitics.
The original deal rewarded Iran for establishing a nuclear program by making it easier for them to export weapons to their proxies. There was bipartisan skepticism when the deal was established and no significant reason to initiate it besides some Dems think maybe they'll be nice if we be nice.
Trump pulling out harmed the credibility of all US foreign agreements not backed by Congressional treaties. A theme he continues with in term 2.
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ethanfrank4395
What is this video Advocating for Iran to have nuclear weapons By the logic that Nuclear deterrence is the only way to stop a regime from being toppled, why aren't we seeing Iran being invaded right now while their nuclear capacity is damaged
Fundamentally disagree on the premise that Israel and the US will continue to attack Iran. Much more so the case that Israel just wants to exist without the threat of Iran saying they will nuke them at the first chance they get, and US is invested in this as Israel's biggest ally
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What is this video Advocating for Iran to have nuclear weapons By the logic that Nuclear deterrence is the only way to stop a regime from being toppled, why aren't we seeing Iran being invaded right now while their nuclear capacity is damaged
Fundamentally disagree on the premise that Israel and the US will continue to attack Iran. Much more so the case that Israel just wants to exist without the threat of Iran saying they will nuke them at the first chance they get, and US is invested in this as Israel's biggest ally
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stancil83
I don't know if this is true yet. I would like to attempt to answer this before I watched the video: Perhaps the pursuit of nuclear weaponry isn't something we're concerned about nowadays, considering how proliferated they already are. Maybe these attacks were leaked to Iran, causing their leadership to bunker up or down as it were, or putting them in known safe houses, making them easy to eliminate. Sort of like a weighty, wholehearted, world-class wild weasel whack-a-mole wellspring.
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I don't know if this is true yet. I would like to attempt to answer this before I watched the video: Perhaps the pursuit of nuclear weaponry isn't something we're concerned about nowadays, considering how proliferated they already are. Maybe these attacks were leaked to Iran, causing their leadership to bunker up or down as it were, or putting them in known safe houses, making them easy to eliminate. Sort of like a weighty, wholehearted, world-class wild weasel whack-a-mole wellspring.
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movo786
N korea has nukes, why didnt they get bombed before they were close. Why does israhell have nukes. Why is every war in the ME always got something to do with israhell. They also get billions in tax dollars but need the USA to fund them. Iran handed their asses to them thats why there is a ceasfire. Their missle hit with precision, and they didn't need fighter jets. The idf were hiding in hospitals and tunnels when the missles were landing, how ironic
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N korea has nukes, why didnt they get bombed before they were close. Why does israhell have nukes. Why is every war in the ME always got something to do with israhell. They also get billions in tax dollars but need the USA to fund them. Iran handed their asses to them thats why there is a ceasfire. Their missle hit with precision, and they didn't need fighter jets. The idf were hiding in hospitals and tunnels when the missles were landing, how ironic
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sethsevaroth
Hiding the gas at their power plants would make the most sense. Hardened structures. Unlikely to be attacked for fear of meltdown /containment breach. Any airborne spectrum analysis could be hidden by the elevated background radiation around the plants.
It also would be not unusual to see transport between the plants and enrichment facility.
They likely snuck it out and have it set aside in a back room away from their other sources.
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Hiding the gas at their power plants would make the most sense. Hardened structures. Unlikely to be attacked for fear of meltdown /containment breach. Any airborne spectrum analysis could be hidden by the elevated background radiation around the plants.
It also would be not unusual to see transport between the plants and enrichment facility.
They likely snuck it out and have it set aside in a back room away from their other sources.
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ActivistUchiha
You give false information, it wasn’t in 2024 when they attacked them, you didn’t mention how they assassinated solemani and many other attacks. Please give accurate information all the way from the coup de tat that failed and caused this whole mess. When you have such a large audience have the decency to give accurate information otherwise you’re just a sheep in wolf’s clothing like the rest of your country.
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You give false information, it wasn’t in 2024 when they attacked them, you didn’t mention how they assassinated solemani and many other attacks. Please give accurate information all the way from the coup de tat that failed and caused this whole mess. When you have such a large audience have the decency to give accurate information otherwise you’re just a sheep in wolf’s clothing like the rest of your country.
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MM-tw7pu
You are CLEARLY lying at 3: 50 and the rest of your bs has zero credibility.
Isreal would NEVER ask for a ceasefire unless it was it deep deep trouble.
Israel’s critical infrastructure was devastated including its major oil refinery in Haifa, power stations, Mossad HQ in Tel Aviv and their pentagon equivalent building there. Their major research facility in Tel Aviv. and many many other heavily censored areas.
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You are CLEARLY lying at 3: 50 and the rest of your bs has zero credibility.
Isreal would NEVER ask for a ceasefire unless it was it deep deep trouble.
Israel’s critical infrastructure was devastated including its major oil refinery in Haifa, power stations, Mossad HQ in Tel Aviv and their pentagon equivalent building there. Their major research facility in Tel Aviv. and many many other heavily censored areas.
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kimioapps3536
You really showed your hand on this video and your objective recounting of history seems to be VERY one sided. Not once did you mention that Israel HAS nuclear weapons. Not once did you mention that Iran has been weeks away from creating a nuclear weapon since the 90syou just echoed the same fear monger in rhetoric that Iran is the boogie man and that BOTH Israel AND the US attacks were unprovoked and ILLEGAL
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You really showed your hand on this video and your objective recounting of history seems to be VERY one sided. Not once did you mention that Israel HAS nuclear weapons. Not once did you mention that Iran has been weeks away from creating a nuclear weapon since the 90syou just echoed the same fear monger in rhetoric that Iran is the boogie man and that BOTH Israel AND the US attacks were unprovoked and ILLEGAL
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scazer.
This is every Israel base hit by Iran, Tel Nof Air Base, Glilot Base, Tziporit, A logistics base near Tulkarem, Mossad HQ and more, reallifelore trying to dehumanize Iran in this video, just shows how now we can't rely on our beloved creators for information in fact the way he talks about the people kled in Iran as if there lives never matter, is disgusting, make Israel look like a victim
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This is every Israel base hit by Iran, Tel Nof Air Base, Glilot Base, Tziporit, A logistics base near Tulkarem, Mossad HQ and more, reallifelore trying to dehumanize Iran in this video, just shows how now we can't rely on our beloved creators for information in fact the way he talks about the people kled in Iran as if there lives never matter, is disgusting, make Israel look like a victim
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dmac7128
In the end, the strikes in Iran simply achieved the same result that the nuclear deal achieved years earlier. It set back the program by about 3-5 years. We could be back in the same place 3-5 years from now, except Iran may actually have weapons grade Uranium from a site not known to Israeli or US intelligence. And when that time comes, it may actually have deliverable nuclear weapons.
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In the end, the strikes in Iran simply achieved the same result that the nuclear deal achieved years earlier. It set back the program by about 3-5 years. We could be back in the same place 3-5 years from now, except Iran may actually have weapons grade Uranium from a site not known to Israeli or US intelligence. And when that time comes, it may actually have deliverable nuclear weapons.
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markrobinowitz8473
60% enriched is enough to make a crude weapon.
Would be nice to see a Real Life Lore episode about Dimona (Israel's plutonium production reactor) and Sdot Micha (Israel's nuclear armed rocket bases, between Jerusalem and the sea. There are two missile fields - one southeast of Tel Nof air base, the other to its west. Even Wikipedia has a decent page on this place.
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60% enriched is enough to make a crude weapon.
Would be nice to see a Real Life Lore episode about Dimona (Israel's plutonium production reactor) and Sdot Micha (Israel's nuclear armed rocket bases, between Jerusalem and the sea. There are two missile fields - one southeast of Tel Nof air base, the other to its west. Even Wikipedia has a decent page on this place.
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stancil83
27: 40 The idea that North Korea avoided attack solely because of its nuclear weapons is compelling, but it's far from the whole picture, as even conventional deterrence played a role. Even without nukes, North Korea could inflict massive damage on Seoul in minutes. That’s always made the military option extremely costly. So while you're not wrong, it is rather reductive.
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27: 40 The idea that North Korea avoided attack solely because of its nuclear weapons is compelling, but it's far from the whole picture, as even conventional deterrence played a role. Even without nukes, North Korea could inflict massive damage on Seoul in minutes. That’s always made the military option extremely costly. So while you're not wrong, it is rather reductive.
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scvboy1
The amount of fake news in this video is outrageous. For starters, not all 29 Israelis killed were civilians. Israel themselves confirmed the death of several soldiers. And second, Iran did target military bases as well as the Mossad HQ in Tel Aviv. The WSJ uncovered censored information which confirmed extensive manages to Israeli military initializations.
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The amount of fake news in this video is outrageous. For starters, not all 29 Israelis killed were civilians. Israel themselves confirmed the death of several soldiers. And second, Iran did target military bases as well as the Mossad HQ in Tel Aviv. The WSJ uncovered censored information which confirmed extensive manages to Israeli military initializations.
reply
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